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08.09 13:33 Tech on USD/JPY: Resistance 2:Y85.10 (resistance line from Jul 14) Resistance 1:Y84.30 (Sep 7 high) Resistance 1:Y83.90 (session high) Current price: Y83.72 Support 1:Y83.30 (15-years low) Support 2:Y81.80 (low of May 1995) Support 3:Y79.80 (historical low) Comments: The pair posted updated new 15-year low. The nearest support - Y83.30. Below loss may extend to Y81.80. The nearest resistance - Y83.90. Above growth is possible to Y84.30 and further to Y85.10. GERMANY: Industrial production July +0.1% on the month versus +1.2% generally expected. 08.09 13:09 Tech on USD/CHF: Resistance 3: Chf1.0220 (resistance line from Aug 11) Resistance 2: Chf1.0180 (МА(200) for Н1) Resistance 1: Chf1.0120 (session high) Current price: Chf1.0081 Support 1: Chf1.0080 (session low, Sep 7 low) Support 2: Chf1.0060 (Sep 1 low/support since March 16 2008) Support 3: Chf0.9960 (December low) Comments: The pair traded aropund Chf1.0100. The key support - Chf1.0060. Below loss may widen to Chf1.0030. The nearest resistance - Chf1.0120. Above is located Chf1.0170. 08.09 13:00 Tech on GBP/USD: Resistance 3: $ 1.5580 (Aug 30 high) Resistance 2: $ 1.5490 (session/ September 1 and 6 high) Resistance 1: $ 1.5440 (hourly high) Current price: $1.5431 Support 1 : $1.5340 (session low) Support 2 : $1.5300 (Sep 7 low) Support 3 : $1.5120 (50,0 % FIBO $1,4230-$ 1,6000) Comments: The cable jumped. The nearest resistance $1.544, ahead of $1.5490. The nearest support - $1.5340. Below loss may increase to $1.5300. 08.09 12:36 Tech on EUR/USD: Resistance 2: $ 1.2820 (61,2% FIBO $1.2920-$ 1.2660) Resistance 2: $ 1.2800 (50,0% FIBO $1.2920-$ 1.2660) Resistance 1: $ 1.2760 (31,8% FIBO $1.2920-$ 1.2660) Сurrent price: $1.2671 Support 1 : $1.2660 (session low/Sep 1 low) Support 2 : $1.2620 (Aug 31 low) Support 3 : $1.2590 (Aug 24 low) Comments: The pair is under pressure again. The nearest support - $1.2660, ahead of $1.2620. Below loss may widen to $1.2590. The nearest resistance - $1.2760. Above growth is possible to $1.2800. - Not talking about default, but higher refinancing costs - EMU peripheral countries on track - Countries need to show long-term consolidation commitment FTSE -35.13 -0.65% 5,372.69, CAC -20.55 -0.56% 3,623.26, Dax -39.71 -0.65%6,078.18 08.09 11:45 UK data: Manufacturing Production (YoY) (Jul) 4.9% Manufacturing Production (MoM) (Jul) 0.3% Industrial Production (YoY) (Jul) 1.9% Industrial Production (MoM) (Jul) 0.3% Data: 01:30 Australia Home Loans (Jul) 1.7% 05:00 Japan BoJ monthly economic report (September) The yen rose to a 15-year high against the dollar on speculation the Federal Reserve’s Beige Book business survey will add to evidence the U.S. economic recovery is stalling. The Fed will today release its survey of conditions in its 12 districts before officials meet to review monetary policy on Sept. 21. The U.S. jobless rate is likely to approach 10 percent in coming months as the economy fails to grow enough to employ people rejoining the labor force, according to economists. Japan’s currency climbed versus all its major counterparts after a report showed the nation’s current-account surplus widened in July by more than economists expected, underscoring the yen’s value as a refuge in times of economic turmoil. The euro traded near a record low against the Swiss franc before a report forecast to show German exports stagnated in July. The Australian dollar rose toward a four-week high before a report tomorrow that may show the country added jobs for a sixth month. EUR/USD: the pair shown high in the field of $1,2730, but then returned back to around $11,2680 GBP/USD: the pair shown high in the field of $1,5490 USD/JPY: movement of pair has been limited by frameworks Y83,30-Y83,90 At 1000GMT, German industrial output is expected to rise 1.2% m/m, +12.5% y/y. US data starts at 1100GMT with the weekly MBA Mortgage Application Index, which is followed at 1145GMT by the weekly ICSC-Goldman Store Sales and at 1255GMT by the weekly Redbook Average. Q2 Services data follows from the US, at 1400GMT. The US Beige Book is due at 1800GMT. 08.09 11:03 Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut EUR/USD $1.22650, $1.2790, $1.2825 USD/JPY Y83.50, Y84.00, Y84.25, Y84.80, Y85.00 EUR/JPY Y107.50 GBP/USD $1.5475 AID/USD $0.9240, $0.8960, $0.8950 08.09 10:48 JAPAN STOCKS CLOSE: Japan's benchmark stock indices ended Wednesday's session lower, weighed again by the stronger yen. The Nikkei 225 ended down 201.40 points, or 2.18%, to stand at 9024.60. The broader-based TOPIX was 13.74 points lower at 821.18. Preliminary volume in the Nikkei constituents totalled 872.2 mn shares, with 9 issues trading higher and 214 lower. A total of 2 were unchanged. 08.09 10:42 Forex: Tuesday's review The yen reached a 15-year high against the U.S. dollar as slowing
economic growth increased demand for refuge assets and Japanese
officials signaled their reluctance to halt the surge in the currency. Japan’s currency strengthened against all 16 of its most- traded counterparts as central bankers in Japan and Australia indicated that slower U.S. economic growth limits their policy options. The euro slid the most in more than two weeks against the dollar on weaker German factory orders and after the Wall Street Journal said European stress tests for banks understated some holdings of sovereign debt in the wake of Greece’s budget crisis. The euro slid the most in more than two weeks against the dollar as weaker German factory orders and concern that government-bond assets will hinder European banks’ fiscal health undermined the outlook for economic growth. The German Banking Association, which said the country’s 10 biggest lenders may need another €105bn of additional capital. The euro extended its decline after a report showed German factory orders unexpectedly fell in July. Adjusted for seasonal swings and inflation, orders declined 2.2% from June, when they surged a revised 3.6%, the Economy Ministry said today. That’s the biggest drop since February 2009. Economists forecast a 0.5% gain. EUR/USD: on results of yesterday's session the pair fallen below a mark $1,2700 GBP/USD: the pair shown low in the field of $1,5300, but restored later USD/JPY: the pair updated a 15-years low reached mark a Y84,50 At 1000GMT, German industrial output is expected to rise 1.2% m/m, +12.5% y/y. US data starts at 1100GMT with the weekly MBA Mortgage Application Index, which is followed at 1145GMT by the weekly ICSC-Goldman Store Sales and at 1255GMT by the weekly Redbook Average. Q2 Services data follows from the US, at 1400GMT. The US Beige Book is due at 1800GMT. 08.09 10:24 Stocks: Tuesday's review China’s stocks rose to the highest in almost four months as
speculation the government will curb overcapacity to meet energy
efficiency targets fueled a rally for the nation’s biggest metal
producers. Maanshan Iron & Steel Co. jumped by the
maximum 10 percent limit after JPMorgan Chase & Co. said steel
prices have “further upside” on policies to reduce energy consumption.
Yunnan Aluminium Co. rose the most in 11 months. The market’s gains were
limited as banks fell after Guosen Securities Co. said regulators plan
to impose loan-loss reserves on lenders. “The government’s
plan to save energy will benefit big players in energy-consuming
industries such as steel because it will weed out smaller rivals,” said
Wei Wei, an analyst at West China Securities Co. in Shanghai. The
Shanghai measure has rebounded 14 percent from this year’s low on July 5
as investors speculated the government would ease monetary policy to
spur growth. That’s trimmed this year’s loss to 18 percent, after the
government increased down- payment requirements on home sales and
ordered banks to set aside more deposits as reserves to curb asset
bubbles. A gauge of material producers rose 1.8 percent for
the biggest gain among the 10 industry groups in the CSI 300 Index. The
measure has rallied 11 percent over the past month, fueled by the
prospect of industrial consolidation and speculation the nation’s
economic slowdown has peaked. European stocks retreated
from a four-week high, led by declines in financial shares, on
lingering concern that the sovereign-debt crisis will hold back the
global recovery. Societe Generale SA and Banco Santander
SA fell more than 2 percent, leading banking shares lower. BHP Billiton
Ltd. and Rio Tinto Group slipped at least 1.4 percent as Australian
Prime Minister Julia Gillard clinched a deal to keep power. Nokia Oyj
rallied 4.5 percent as Morgan Stanley upgraded the stock. “Investors
will keep worrying about a possible double dip in the next few weeks,”
said Michael Koehler, head of strategy at Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg
in Mainz, Germany. “Until we see if we keep getting better fundamental
data, setbacks are not unlikely. Banks still face problems in regards to
their capital ratio, which will weigh on sentiment for financials in
the next couple of days.” U.S. stocks fell for the
first time in five days, ending the longest streak of gains for the
Standard & Poor’s 500 Index since July, on concern the European debt
crisis may worsen, hampering global growth. Bank of
America Corp. and Citigroup Inc. fell at least 2 percent as European
banks slid on concern stress tests understated potential losses from
sovereign debt. ConocoPhillips and Chevron Corp. slumped more than 1.2
percent as crude oil fell the most in a week. Oracle Corp. rallied 5.9
percent, the most since December, after naming Mark Hurd, former chief
executive officer of Hewlett-Packard Co., as president. “Widening
spreads are like a canary in a coal mine,” said Quincy Krosby, chief
market strategist for Newark, New Jersey- based Prudential Financial
Inc., which oversees $690 billion. “It’s a signal that debt concerns are
mounting. In order for the stock market to move higher, investors will
have to see a solid package of economic data suggesting that we’re
avoiding a double-dip recession.” U.S. stocks last week
snapped three weeks of declines as better-than-estimated growth in
private employment and manufacturing increased optimism that the world’s
largest economy will avoid slipping back into recession. The S&P
500 remains 10 percent below this year’s peak in April. 08.09 10:12 Tech on USD/JPY: Resistance 2:Y85.10 (resistance line from Jul 14) Resistance 1:Y84.30 (Sep 7 high) Resistance 1:Y83.90 (session high) Current price: Y83.92 Support 1:Y83.30 (15-years low) Support 2:Y81.80 (low of May 1995) Support 3:Y79.80 (historical low) Comments: The Pair updated a 15-years low. The nearest support - Y83.30. Below loss may extend to Y81,80. The nearest resistance - Y83,90. Above growth is possible to Y84,30 and further to Y85,10. 08.09 09:48 Tech on USD/CHF: Resistance 3: Chf1.0220 (resistance line from Aug 11) Resistance 2: Chf1.0170 (МА(200) for Н1) Resistance 1: Chf1.0120 (session high) Current price: Chf1.0089 Support 1: Chf1.0080 (session low, Sep 7 low) Support 2: Chf1.0060 (Sep 1 low) Support 3: Chf0.9960 (low of December) Comments: The Pair bargains in the field of Chf1,0100. The nearest support - Chf1,0080. Below loss may increase to Chf1,0060. The nearest resistance - Chf1,0120. Above is located Chf1.0170. Germany Trade Balance (Jul) 12.7. Current Account (Jul) 9.0B 08.09 09:09 Tech on GBP/USD: Resistance 3: $ 1.5470 (resistance line from Aug 16) Resistance 2: $ 1.5420 (Sep 7 high) Resistance 1: $ 1.5380 (session high) Current price: $1.5376 Support 1 : $1.5340 (session low) Support 2 : $1.5300 (Sep 7 low) Support 3 : $1.5120 (50,0 % FIBO $1,4230-$ 1,6000) Comments: The Pair slightly become stronger at the morning. The nearest resistance - $1.5380. Above growth is possible to $1,5420. The nearest support - $1,5340. Below loss may increase to $1,5300. 08.09 08:42 Tech on EUR/USD: Resistance 2: $ 1.2830 (61,2% FIBO $1.2920-$ 1.2680) Resistance 2: $ 1.2800 (50,0% FIBO $1.2920-$ 1.2680) Resistance 1: $ 1.2770 (31,8% FIBO $1.2920-$ 1.2680) Сurrent price: $1,2711 Support 1 : $1.2680 (session low) Support 2 : $1.2660 (Sep 1 low) Support 3 : $1.2620 (Aug 31 low) Comments: The Pair receded from the low reached yesterday. The nearest resistance - $1,2770. Above growth is possible to $1,2800. The nearest support - $1,2680. Below loss may extend to $1,2660. 08.09 08:33 Daily history for Sep'07'2010: Change % Change Last Nikkei 9,226.00 -0.81% Hang Seng 21,401.79 +0.22% FTSE 5,407.82 -0.58% DAX 6,117.89 -0.60% Dow 10,340.69 -1.03% Nasdaq 2,208.89 -1.11% S&P 1,091.84 -1.15% 08.09 08:24 Schedule for today, Wednesday, Sep'08'2010 01:30 Australia Home Loans (Jul) 1.0% -3.9%
05:00 Japan BoJ monthly economic report (September) 06:00 Germany Trade Balance (Jul) €12.0B €12.3B 06:00 Germany Current Account (Jul) 11.5B 12.9B 08:30 UK Manufacturing Production (YoY) (Jul) 4.9% 4.1% 08:30 UK Manufacturing Production (MoM) (Jul) 0.3% 0.3% 08:30 UK Industrial Production (YoY) (Jul) 2.0% 1.3% 08:30 UK Industrial Production (MoM) (Jul) 0.4% -0.5% 10:00 Germany Industrial Production s.a. w.d.a. (YoY) (Jul) 12.5% 10.9% 10:00 Germany Industrial Production s.a. (MoM) (Jul) 1.0% -0.6% 11:00 US MBA Mortgage Applications (Sep 3) 2.7% 12:30 Canada Building Permits (MoM) (Jul) -6.0% 6.5% 13:00 Canada BoC Interest Rate Decision 1.00% 0.75% 14:00 Canada Ivey Purchasing Managers Index (Aug) 55.5 54.0 15:00 US API Crude Oil Inventories (Sep 3) -776K 19:00 US Consumer Credit (Jul) $-5.4B $-1.3B Ziņu arhīvs |
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